Category Archives: war

The last war?

I have the impression that many in Lebanon are certain about the inevitable last war. For some it is even the necessary last war. Thus making the war of the wars that will solve the awkward current status of not defeated and not victor of Hezbollah and Tsahal armies.

Who will throw the first stone? Who will light the spark? Do we even need a provocation to make a war ? To justify what?

Anyway, I do not believe in the total destruction neither of Hezbollah neither of Israel. Both were created in the rage of defending their land and both will be constantly replaced by other men and women willing to defend the most than honorable believe that one should defend its land. Will a same goal bring both to total destruction? I doubt.

As for the war to come, I also do not believe in the war of the wars. Not if is not nuclear.

N.S

Here f Nicholas Noe’s piece in Asia Times:

Hezbollah: Craving war, not wanting it

By Nicholas Noe

BEIRUT – Almost five years after the George W Bush administration was handed a potentially game-changing opportunity to peacefully declaw the militant Shi’ite movement Hezbollah, Washington is finally waking up to the grim reality of its ill-conceived “Cedar Revolution” policy in Lebanon: the prospect of a renewed war involving a sophisticated actor whose hybrid military power has only grown exponentially.

Setting aside, for the moment, the contentious argument over who is indeed responsible for these developments – which, it should be noted, quickly followed the forced exit of Syrian troops in April 2005 – the truly pressing issue for concerned policymakers and citizens alike is that both opposing axes, but especially the “resistance axis” of Iran-Syria-Hezbollah-Hamas, now seem to believe that the next war can and should be the last one between Israel and its enemies.

Unfortunately, this ideological certainty only helps to further grease the wheels of conflict – since the perception is that there will (finally) be no more “winning by not losing” or “winning, but the loser as “we know him’ remains” – while virtually guaranteeing that, should war come to pass, the costs will be truly awful for all those touched by it.

Keep reading at: Hezbollah: Craving war, not wanting it

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The Utility of Assassination, By George Friedman in Stratfor

Global Intelligence, Stratfor, February 23, 2010

The Utility of Assassination
By George Friedman

The apparent Israeli assassination of a Hamas operative in the United Arab Emirates turned into a bizarre event replete with numerous fraudulent passports, alleged Israeli operatives caught on videotape and international outrage (much of it feigned), more over the use of fraudulent passports than over the operative’s death. If we are to believe the media, it took nearly 20 people and an international incident to kill him.

STRATFOR has written on the details of the killing as we have learned of them, but we see this as an occasion to address a broader question: the role of assassination in international politics.

Defining Assassination

We should begin by defining what we mean by assassination. It is the killing of a particular individual for political purposes. It differs from the killing of a spouse’s lover because it is political. It differs from the killing of a soldier on the battlefield in that the soldier is anonymous and is not killed because of who he is but because of the army he is serving in.

The question of assassination, in the current jargon “targeted killing,” raises the issue of its purpose. Apart from malice and revenge, as in Abraham Lincoln’s assassination, the purpose of assassination is to achieve a particular political end by weakening an enemy in some way. Thus, the killing of Adm. Isoroku Yamamoto by the Americans in World War II was a targeted killing, an assassination. His movements were known, and the Americans had the opportunity to kill him. Killing an incompetent commander would be counterproductive, but Yamamoto was a superb strategist, without peer in the Japanese navy. Killing him would weaken Japan’s war effort, or at least have a reasonable chance of doing so. With all the others dying around him in the midst of war, the moral choice did not seem complex then, nor does it seem complex now.

Such occasions rarely occur on the battlefield. There are few commanders who could not readily be replaced, and perhaps even replaced by someone more able. In any event, it is difficult to locate enemy commanders, meaning the opportunity to kill them rarely arises. And as commanders ask their troops to risk their lives, they have no moral claim to immunity from danger.

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Filed under English, Military, Politics, Terrorism/Terrorismo, war

Sobre el asesinato de Mahmoud al-Mahbouh, Javier Espinosa in El Mundo

Hace poco días vi una película titulada ‘El ojo del Aguila’ que relata la historia de una sociedad, la norteamericana, controlada hasta el último rincón por cámaras y sistemas de vigilancia dirigidos en última instancia por un ordenador.

El lunes al ver las fotos distribuidas por la policía de Dubai no pude por menos que recordar el argumento y captar la terrible ironía que esconde el caso del líder de Hamas, Mahmoud al-Mabhouh. Emulando lo que podría ser el discurso oficial israelí, los agentes del Mossad habrían contribuido a eliminar –la prensa de ese país difícilmente usa el término adecuado, “asesinar”- a un significado elemento de Hamas, uno de los grupos armados que mejor personifica para Tel Aviv la necesidad de continuar la llamada “guerra contra el terror”.

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UK hostage’s remains identified in Lebanon , AP

November 24, 2009 Lebanonwire
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UK hostage’s remains identified in Lebanon UNITED NATIONS — The remains of British hostage Alec Collett, who disappeared in 1985 during Lebanon’s civil war while working for the United Nations, have been positively identified, the U.N. announced Monday.

Experts began searching for Collett’s remains last week in the eastern Bekaa Valley, which during the 1975-90 civil war was a lawless region of banditry and kidnapping. Lebanese security officials said two bodies were discovered near the village of Aita al-Foukhar and samples were sent for DNA testing in Beirut.

U.N. deputy spokeswoman Marie Okabe said Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon had been informed of the positive identification of Collett’s remains.

Britain’s Foreign Office also confirmed Monday that a set of remains recovered last week belonged to Collett.

Collett, who was 63 at the time of his abduction, disappeared in southern Beirut on March 25, 1985 while on assignment for the U.N. Relief and Works Agency, which cares for Palestinian refugees.

The Revolutionary Organization of Socialist Muslims claimed it hanged Collett in 1986 and issued videotape showing him dangling from a gallows. The group was one of the names used by followers of Palestinian militant leader Abu Nidal, who committed a series of spectacular acts of terrorism around the globe before his death in 2002.

Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency said last week the two bodies were found in a post that was run by Abu Nidal’s group. His kidnappers said they killed him a year later.

At least 88 foreigners were taken hostage between 1984 and 1990, including 17 Americans, by the various factions in Lebanon’s bitter civil war.

Okabe said the secretary-general hopes that the discovery of Collett’s remains “can provide a measure of comfort to his loved ones.”

Ban expressed appreciation to authorities in Britain and Lebanon for finding the remains after so many years, she said.

Authorities had previously searched for Collett’s body in the then Syrian-controlled Bekaa Valley in eastern Lebanon without success. -AP

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